Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 235.398197 265.216278 298.270388 337.791425 383.970617 436.477836 501.059974
2025-02-23 186.270949 224.350941 270.237514 330.227996 407.513718 505.012934 639.395103
2025-03-02 165.462679 208.173185 262.565880 338.142265 442.417139 584.262355 797.266163
2025-03-09 147.897460 192.452684 251.698102 338.110696 464.185275 646.824062 942.070842
2025-03-16 132.362988 176.961076 238.371815 331.590816 474.109784 691.985162 1067.723855
2025-03-23 122.034607 167.192540 231.384280 332.485214 493.992778 753.932602 1231.505311
2025-03-30 111.447590 155.814428 220.577337 325.804496 500.346909 794.144163 1365.215633
2025-04-06 103.764723 147.868639 213.885803 324.398282 514.520075 848.992233 1537.040683
2025-04-13 94.120100 136.088984 200.130244 309.835197 504.029035 857.836347 1619.742656
2025-04-20 91.267797 134.459983 202.029659 321.320594 540.601387 959.324412 1919.276807
2025-04-27 89.072833 133.619919 205.013604 334.837982 582.599298 1078.694679 2292.061187
2025-05-04 84.727942 128.940100 201.176878 335.702395 600.407767 1151.664629 2575.801660
2025-05-11 79.098552 121.869523 192.925838 328.028531 601.118479 1190.096262 2789.205655
2025-05-18 74.229238 115.746294 185.847938 321.878099 604.267002 1235.048837 3036.748477
2025-05-25 71.954402 113.833136 185.949270 329.413095 637.186924 1355.515828 3544.515534
2025-06-01 68.759421 110.090315 182.437387 329.397423 653.587153 1439.344025 3974.063174
2025-06-08 64.967289 105.043459 176.142759 323.081935 654.849843 1485.003777 4297.245196
2025-06-15 62.443838 102.082020 173.477606 323.948303 672.856350 1578.729024 4830.029688
2025-06-22 59.190501 97.601931 167.615991 317.477881 672.426294 1621.819055 5194.939090
2025-06-29 56.802856 94.557651 164.283833 316.115813 684.363607 1703.023789 5752.060821
2025-07-06 53.102877 88.890769 155.495436 302.007306 662.391730 1679.595652 5859.486128
2025-07-13 52.493199 88.943822 157.937369 313.134589 707.023976 1870.330901 7028.940279
2025-07-20 52.087539 89.348035 161.095573 326.226753 759.144285 2100.172898 8557.922262